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Right now, as far as we can tell, there is exactly one intelligent species in the universe and it is us: human beings. We currently see no evidence of any kind indicating that extraterrestrials exist outside of our solar system.
But at this moment, millions of engineers, scientists, corporations, universities and entrepreneurs are racing to create the second intelligent species right here on planet earth. And we can see the second intelligent species coming from all directions in the form of self-driving cars, automated call centers, chess-playing and Jeopardy-playing computers that beat all human players, airport kiosks, restaurant tablet systems, etc.
The frightening thing is that these robots will soon be eliminating human jobs in startling numbers. The first wave of unemployed workers is likely to be a million truck drivers who are replaced by self-driving trucks. Pilots will be eliminated soon as well. Then, as new computer vision systems come online, we will see tens of millions of workers in retail stores, fast food restaurants and construction sites replaced by robots. Unless we take steps now to change the economy, we will soon have tens of millions of workers who are unemployed and seeking welfare because they will have no other choice.
Marshall Brain's new book "The Second Intelligent Species: How Humans Will Become as Irrelevant as Cockroaches" explores how the future will unfold as the second intelligent species emerges. The book answers questions like:
- How will new computer vision systems affect the job market?
- How many people will become unemployed by the second intelligent species?
- What will happen to millions of newly unemployed workers?
- How can modern society and modern economies cope with run-away unemployment caused by robots?
- What will happen when the first sentient, conscious computer appears?
- What moral and ethical principles will guide the second intelligent species?
- Why do we see no extraterrestrials in our universe?
"The Second Intelligent Species" offers a unique and fascinating look at the future of the human race, and the choices we will need to make to avoid massive unemployment and poverty worldwide as intelligent machines start eliminating millions of jobs.
- Sales Rank: #283475 in eBooks
- Published on: 2015-04-07
- Released on: 2015-04-07
- Format: Kindle eBook
Most helpful customer reviews
18 of 19 people found the following review helpful.
Interesting but flawed
By Timothy M. Arends
What to make of this book? It was a fairly interesting read, despite several glaring flaws.
The subtitle,"How humans will become as irrelevant as cockroaches" was somewhat misleading. The author does not think that humans will become irrelevant so much as obsolete. That is, he thinks that artificial intelligence will ultimately cater to us night and day, satisfy our every material need and solve all of our most pressing problems.
The author makes a pretty good case that the rise of artificial intelligence will lead to technological unemployment, starting with the elimination of the jobs of truck drivers by autonomous self driving trucks. From there, thanks to machine vision, he thinks that many or most human jobs will be eliminated or rendered obsolete by the end of the 2030s.
One of the problems I have with the book is that the writing style is flabby. The author uses far more words than is necessary to make his case. A good editor could probably have reduced the size of this book by 25% or more by eliminating unnecessary verbiage.
For example, the author, in giving a hypothetical example of aliens from outerspace interviewing the public, is not satisfied with simply saying that they will interview "everyone." Instead, he has to give a long, bulleted list (the author is very fond of bulleted lists) of virtually every type of person he could think of– janitors, ditchdiggers, people living in slums, doctors, lawyers, fast food workers, conservatives, liberals, et cetera -- this list stretches on for nearly two full pages.
Similarly, the author is not satisfied with merely stating that artificial intelligence will help us with all of our problems; he must include another long, bulleted list naming those problems, as if we don't know what they are already (to a large degree, the book reads as if it was written for fifth-graders).
In discussing the plight of truck drivers, the author is not satisfied with saying the media will ignore the drivers' complaints, but he has to unnecessarily bring politics into the matter by naming well-known conservative commentators (but not liberals).
The weak writing is a surprise, considering that this is not the author's first book. Perhaps the better part of being a good writer is having a good editor, but the author obviously failed in this regard, which is surprising, since, as a multimillionaire, he could certainly have afforded to hire the best editors.
A somewhat more serious criticism is it the book offers a somewhat myopic point of view. For example, the author discusses artificial intelligence at great length but practically ignores nanotechnology, which will prove to be either a fantastic boon or a fantastic threat. He also completely ignores the considerable existential threat that super artificial intelligence may present to mankind, as explored in books such as those by Nick Bostrom.
In Chapter 10 - "Why Are There No Extraterrestrials?" the author hypothesizes that the reason we have never made contact with extraterrestrials is that they, too, once they become advanced enough, will have developed advanced artificial intelligence and will then enter into a "quiescent" state in which all of their needs will be satisfied and they will have no desire to explore or conquer the rest of the universe.
This flies in the face of Ray Kurzweil's theory that, as artificial intelligence advances, it will seek to expand and spread outwards into the rest of the universe, eventually "saturating" it with intelligence. Perhaps the author does not agree with Kurzweil's theory, but he has surely heard of it, and the fact that he makes no mention or refutation of it is peculiar.
In summary, I find this an interesting book, but one that, because of its flaws, is much less than what it could have been.
12 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
If you enjoyed Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom you will really enjoy this ...
By Bud Taylor
If you enjoyed Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom you will really enjoy this book. Nick's book is more academic and has awakened many like Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking. However Marshall does an excellent job of providing likely scenarios that will result from the application of exponential technologies. Good examples will be the likely elimination of many job classes, such as 1-2 million truck drivers, 15 million retail jobs, 3 million fast food jobs, 6 million construction jobs, 3 million teaching jobs and 10 million manufacturing jobs. All these millions will be without jobs and virtually no other employment opportunities which will present enormous societal challenges.
Marshall provides some compelling evidence that the second intelligent electronic species is nearly a guaranteed inevitability as one day researchers will replicate self-recursive human intelligence and consciousness. Authors like Diamondis who wrote Bold and Abundance would counter some of Marhsall's speculation but I believe he provides some fairly compelling arguments.
I enjoyed science fiction as a child, over fifty years ago, but have since nearly exclusively restricted my reading to non fiction, especially after medical school. However i was really pleasantly surprised by the end of the book which I actually enjoyed more than the beginning.. I had long forgotten that fiction has the potential to convey future potential better than non-fiction. I was surprised at how likely some of the items written about could be and are not at all addressed in current science projections. The Australia Project is an alternative to the dystopian artificial general intelligence future that results from objective and rational electronic intelligence controlling all of society. The Project was designed to create heaven on earth or the closest approximation possible. The designs the book describes are really visionary and something I have never contemplated or previously read. That alone is worth the read.
I won't spoil it for you with the details but you simply must read the last part of the book. Absolutely one of the best $1 bargains out there
13 of 15 people found the following review helpful.
Marshall Brain Doesn't Sugar Coat Reality
By ilaksh
Great book. This is going to be tough for a lot of people to swallow, but we must be realistic and critical in planning for the future of humanity. This book will help people get a much better perspective on life if they give it a chance. If you're not already familiar with the singularity concept or are still wearing rose-tinted glasses about how great things are going in the world, prepare to be shocked.
The real world is scary place, with many severe problems and massive changes in store for us. Read the book if you are prepared to grow up and face it.
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